Legend has it that a reporter asked a senator how it was that he was so successful, and the man replied by saying "good decisions." How do you make good decisions? "Experience," was the reply. And how does one gain such experience? "Bad decisions."

I've never won an office pool or fantasy league in my life. I'm a joke at the sports book in Caesar's Palace. And with that, I bring you this year's roundup of bad decisions as they pertain to the NFL.

NFC EAST

Prediction: Eagles, Giants (wild card), Cowboys, Redskins

Vegas: Eagles

The Eagles just have too much firepower, and QB Michael Vick is the league's MVP. The Cowboys have an enigma at QB with Tony Romo, and the Giants, despite key offseason losses, have depth and a great coaching staff.

NFC NORTH

Prediction: Packers, Bears, Lions, Vikings

Vegas: Packers

Hard not to pick the Packers here -- they still have the most talented team in the NFC. But it's a tall order to repeat in the NFL. As far as the Lions go ... prove it, Matt Stafford.

NFC SOUTH

Prediction: Saints, Falcons (wild card), Panthers, Bucs

Vegas: Saints

The Saints are fired up, and with the shortened preseason their experience and QB Drew Brees' attention to the playbook makes them a nice bet. The Falcons are hungry and aggressive. I wouldn't be shocked to see either in the Super Bowl.

NFC WEST

Prediction: Cardinals, Rams, 49ers, Seahawks

Vegas: Rams

The Rams seem too young for me to feel comfortable betting on them. I'll take QB Kevin Kolb and expectations of consistency from the Cardinals.

AFC EAST

Prediction: Patriots, Jets (wild card), Bills, Dolphins

Vegas: Patriots

The Jets may win 12 games. So what? The Patriots might win 16. This will be hashed out in the playoffs.

AFC NORTH

Prediction: Ravens, Steelers, Browns, Bengals

Vegas: Steelers

I believe in QB Joe Flacco. The Steelers are the easy bet, but I'm wondering if they can't be beat by a few outer-fringe teams this season.

AFC SOUTH

Prediction: Texans, Colts, Titans, Jags

Vegas: Colts

This pick means I believe Peyton Manning will be hurt for longer than anticipated.

AFC WEST

Prediction: Chiefs, Chargers (wild card), Broncos, Raiders

Vegas: Chargers

The Chiefs have a killer running back in Jamal Charles, a good quarterback in Matt Cassell and a young, aggressive defense. This will surprise a lot of people. That said, the Chargers are probably better. Oh, well.

NFC CHAMP: Eagles

AFC CHAMP: Jets

SUPER BOWL CHAMP: Jets

VEGAS LINE: Patriots over Packers

I'm going to believe the hype and take Rex Ryan for the win. It makes for a good story, anyway.